Don’t try to reinvent the wheel in roulette betting

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Updated: October 28, 2011 11:16AM

Roulette and craps are very different games, but they have something in common: a large number of betting options, leading to players trying to figure out combinations of wagers that will guarantee success.

They’ll try to use one bet to cover up the weakness in another. It doesn’t really work that way. No combination of bets with house advantages can add up to a whole with an edge to the player.

That doesn’t stop players from trying, even adding weak bets in the hopes of strengthening a system. A roulette player named Ron wrote to me recently to say he was doing just that, incorporating the five-number bet on 0, 00, 1, 2 and 3 into his combination.

“It’s pretty simple, really,” he wrote. “If I’m at a $5 table, I bet $5 on even. Then I put $5 on the five-number bet. That takes care of the 0 and 00, and it gives me two of the odd numbers. If the 2 comes up, I win twice. The only numbers that can beat me are the odds from 5 on up. So I have 22 of the 38 numbers, and one of them gives me some extra.”

The house edge on the bet on even is 5.26 percent, the same as nearly every bet on the layout. Exception: the five-number bet Ron added to his combo. There, the house edge soars to 7.89 percent. It’s a bet that should never be made, either alone or in a combination. A better option would be to bet the five numbers individually.

If Ron were to make these bets 38 times and have each number on the wheel turn up once, he’d risk a total of $380. He’d lose his 10 bucks on each of the 16 odd numbers from 5 through 35. On other numbers, he’d do no worse than break even.

† On the 17 even numbers from 4 through 36, he’d lose his five-number bet but win his even bet, keeping his $5 wager and claiming $5 in winnings. He’d have a total of $170.

† On 0, 00, 1 and 3, he’d win the five-number bet at 6-1 odds and lose the even-number bet. Each winner would bring him back his $5 wager plus $30 in winnings, for a total of $140.

† On 2, he’d keep both wagers, win $5 on even and win $30 on the five number, for a total of $45.

All told, he’d have $355 at the end of the trial. The house would keep $25. The house edge is 6.58 percent edge — right between the 5.26 percent on even and 7.89 on five numbers.

In Ron’s attempt to cover weaknesses in the even bet, he takes on the bigger weakness of the five-number wager. It’s not a winning combination.

John Grochowski is a local free-lance writer. His “Casino Answer Man” tips air at 5:18 p.m. Tuesday through Friday on WLS-AM (890).